Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 20.066822 23.151976 26.481637 30.333458 34.657340 39.351931 44.825089
2025-10-05 15.775240 20.284516 25.602199 32.290650 40.429099 49.958510 61.904323
2025-10-12 13.153894 18.415749 25.061168 33.964671 45.461818 59.677481 78.435515
2025-10-19 10.908283 16.442606 23.855349 34.329070 48.534347 66.892611 92.131147
2025-10-26 9.194716 14.813019 22.742800 34.481152 51.090114 73.377219 105.090758
2025-11-02 7.706078 13.221550 21.397564 34.031862 52.610698 78.397951 116.233163
2025-11-09 6.483150 11.814182 20.092771 33.409751 53.700962 82.746511 126.557661
2025-11-16 5.466514 10.561725 18.835752 32.662370 54.443956 86.527322 136.167548
2025-11-23 4.529650 9.285188 17.361257 31.375445 54.183592 88.721974 143.481867
2025-11-30 4.154576 8.939006 17.364685 32.434193 57.602300 96.553465 159.499073
2025-12-07 3.830765 8.634697 17.392557 33.509087 61.084379 104.632099 176.254662
2025-12-14 3.314704 7.875019 16.517714 32.933638 61.778092 108.346288 186.412677
2025-12-21 2.784634 7.028539 15.435303 31.982666 61.933421 111.482395 196.306393
2025-12-28 2.662645 7.035740 15.990613 34.089415 67.570607 123.955547 221.961949
2026-01-04 2.510576 6.949749 16.348728 35.853324 72.722785 135.911520 247.391983
2026-01-11 2.243565 6.547924 16.011225 36.236812 75.394543 143.811417 266.498934
2026-01-18 1.992218 6.133690 15.588871 36.396424 77.639167 151.068166 284.843950
2026-01-25 1.726778 5.628115 14.896705 35.925793 78.634683 156.160028 299.703115
2026-02-01 1.486109 5.134788 14.160106 35.274006 79.205877 160.490137 313.404744
2026-02-08 1.271363 4.663439 13.404401 34.490859 79.434422 164.174918 326.099956
2026-02-15 1.057483 4.140519 12.443801 33.142070 78.396058 165.430650 334.474683
2026-02-22 0.990736 4.056899 12.566300 34.251740 82.477350 176.456244 360.966515
2026-03-01 0.929826 3.978984 12.692596 35.378089 86.660266 187.863817 388.613502